1. Executive Summary


2. Global Top Stories

Iran Begins Six-Day Mass Funeral for Former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei

Ukraine Strikes Major Oil Terminal Near St. Petersburg; Russia Claims Capture of Kostiantynivka

Trump Launches America's 250th Anniversary with Partisan Mount Rushmore Speech

Pope Leo XIV Visits Lampedusa, Implicitly Rebukes Trump on Immigration

Germany's AfD Holds Conference Amid Massive Protests on Nazi Anniversary Date

Venezuela Earthquake Death Toll Passes 2,600 as Rescue Operations Continue

UN Security Council Holds Emergency Session on Gulf Tensions

Keiko Fujimori Declared Winner of Peru's Presidential Election

Saudi-Led Coalition Pledges "Unprecedented" Force Against Houthi Threats

Brutal US Heatwave Disrupts July 4th Celebrations


3. Regional Analysis

North America

Europe

Russia & Ukraine

Middle East

Asia-Pacific

Africa

Latin America


4. Great Power Competition

5. Military & Security

6. Global Economy

7. Sanctions & Trade Restrictions

8. International Organizations

9. Elections & Political Risk

10. Intelligence & Cyber

11. Humanitarian Crises

12. Emerging Flashpoints

13. Data Snapshot

Major Armed Conflicts

ConflictStatusChange This WeekRisk Level
Russia-Ukraine WarActiveUkraine strikes St. Petersburg oil terminals; Russia claims Kostiantynivka captureHigh
US-Iran WarActiveFuneral for Khamenei begins; Strait of Hormuz tensions persistHigh
Sudan Civil WarActiveEl Obeid under relentless drone attacks; RSF advancingHigh
Yemen ConflictActiveSaudi-led coalition pledges "unprecedented" force against HouthisHigh
Mali InsurgencyActiveTuareg-led groups attack multiple towns and prisonHigh
Venezuela Earthquake DisasterHumanitarian CrisisDeath toll passes 2,600; rescue operations ongoingHigh

Major Elections

CountryElectionDateImportance
PeruPresidential electionJune 2026 (result declared July 4)Keiko Fujimori declared winner; shifts Peru's political alignment

New Sanctions

Issuing CountryTargetSummary
European UnionIndividuals linked to Alexei Navalny poisoningSanctions on those responsible for poisoning of Russian opposition leader
European UnionLow-value Chinese importsEnded customs exemption for low-value imports from China

Key Diplomatic Meetings

MeetingParticipantsOutcome
US-Iran talks (claimed)US, Iran (via Qatar)Trump claims Iran agreed to Doha talks; status unconfirmed
UN Security Council emergency session15 membersAddressed Iranian attacks on Bahrain and Kuwait; no consensus resolution
Bangladesh-China summitPM Rahman, Chinese leadershipAnnounced "new era" in bilateral ties
Canada-Alberta-British Columbia pipeline dealPM Carney, provincial leadersC$150bn investment pledge; pipeline to proceed

14. Timeline of the Week

Monday, June 29

Tuesday, June 30

Wednesday, July 1

Thursday, July 2

Friday, July 3

Saturday, July 4

15. What to Watch Next Week

Sources